Stanton’s power

Posted by John Autin on July 16, 2011

With a pair of home runs off Carlos Zambrano Saturday at Wrigley Field, Mike Stanton now has 42 HRs in his first 188 career games -- tied for 17th in MLB history through 188 games, along with Albert Pujols, Hank Sauer, Richie Sexson and Matt Nokes.

It was his first multi-HR game this season and gave him 20 HRs for the year. He's the 28th player ever with 20+ HRs in each of his first 2 seasons.

The right-handed Stanton continues to show more power against righty pitchers:

vs. RHPs, 35 HRs in 511 ABs, 6.8%;
vs. LHPs, 7 HRs in 161 ABs, 4.3%.

In his first game ever against Zambrano, Stanton struck out in his first trip, but drove a HR the opposite way on a 1-2 pitch leading off the 4th, then did the same on a 2-0 pitch with 2 aboard in the 5th, knocking the Big Z out of the game.

Here are the players with at least 40 HRs in their first 188 games:

[Note: Because it's a game search, they're sorted by most games with a HR. To sort by total HRs, click on the "HR" heading.]

Rk	Player	#Matching		PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	SH	SF	IBB	HBP	GDP
1	Rudy York	51	Ind. Games	222	199	90	9	1	57	139	23	23	.452	.509	1.367	1.876	0	0		0
2	Mark McGwire	48	Ind. Games	206	184	85	7	1	56	91	18	34	.462	.519	1.424	1.943	0	0	3	4	1
3	Ryan Howard	47	Ind. Games	201	183	75	5	1	52	100	16	39	.410	.453	1.301	1.753	0	2	7	0	0
4	Ryan Braun	47	Ind. Games	209	199	99	9	3	54	99	7	31	.497	.522	1.387	1.908	0	0	0	3	5
5	Chuck Klein	44	Ind. Games	211	191	100	10	4	48	103	14	14	.524	.556	1.372	1.928	6	0		0
6	Tony Clark	43	Ind. Games	188	173	74	5	0	48	86	14	41	.428	.473	1.289	1.762	0	0	1	1	5
7	Ron Kittle	42	Ind. Games	178	161	66	1	1	43	85	15	39	.410	.455	1.230	1.685	0	2	3	0	3
8	Bob Horner	42	Ind. Games	184	169	84	12	0	48	87	10	18	.497	.516	1.420	1.936	0	4	3	1	0
9	Dick Stuart	41	Ind. Games	178	157	75	5	0	43	81	17	27	.478	.534	1.331	1.865	0	1	3	3	3
10	Frank Robinson	41	Ind. Games	186	173	80	8	2	44	72	8	28	.462	.495	1.295	1.789	2	0	0	3	1
11	Jimmie Hall	41	Ind. Games	186	166	72	4	0	43	81	18	31	.434	.486	1.235	1.721	1	1	2	0	3
12	Adam Dunn	41	Ind. Games	183	148	73	12	1	43	72	32	31	.493	.585	1.459	2.044	0	1	0	2	3
13	Chris Duncan	41	Ind. Games	159	143	69	5	0	43	79	12	29	.483	.522	1.420	1.942	0	2	0	2	4
14	Albert Pujols	40	Ind. Games	175	151	68	8	0	42	81	19	21	.450	.509	1.338	1.846	0	3	2	2	6
15	Richie Sexson	39	Ind. Games	170	160	74	4	0	42	86	7	19	.463	.488	1.275	1.763	0	1	0	2	4
16	Pete Incaviglia	39	Ind. Games	165	150	63	3	1	41	70	14	29	.420	.473	1.273	1.746	0	0	1	1	3
17	Josh Hamilton	39	Ind. Games	180	156	66	5	1	41	85	19	25	.423	.483	1.256	1.740	0	3	4	2	3
18	Mike Stanton	38	Ind. Games	165	150	66	8	2	40	73	13	31	.440	.485	1.320	1.805	0	1	2	1	4
19	Tony Conigliaro	38	Ind. Games	166	151	62	3	0	40	66	14	23	.411	.461	1.225	1.686	1	0	2	0	4
20	Cory Snyder	37	Ind. Games	156	148	57	3	0	43	74	7	28	.385	.410	1.277	1.687	0	1	1	0	3
21	Hank Sauer	37	Ind. Games	159	143	70	7	1	42	71	13	15	.490	.538	1.434	1.972	1	0		2	2
22	Alex Rodriguez	37	Ind. Games	180	161	78	16	0	40	86	15	22	.484	.520	1.329	1.849	1	3	1	0	2
23	Manny Ramirez	37	Ind. Games	160	142	70	8	0	41	80	15	22	.493	.535	1.415	1.950	1	2	1	0	1
24	Matt Nokes	37	Ind. Games	156	140	69	3	0	42	73	12	15	.493	.545	1.414	1.959	0	0	1	4	4
25	Evan Longoria	37	Ind. Games	171	154	71	13	0	43	82	13	36	.461	.503	1.383	1.886	0	2	1	2	3
26	Joe DiMaggio	37	Ind. Games	184	176	86	14	1	44	85	5	8	.489	.508	1.330	1.838	1	0		2
28	Wally Berger	37	Ind. Games	156	141	75	4	4	41	79	11	15	.532	.569	1.489	2.058	3	0		1
32	Hal Trosky	35	Ind. Games	165	144	79	14	0	41	98	21	9	.549	.606	1.500	2.106	0	0		0
33	Eddie Mathews	35	Ind. Games	161	142	61	8	2	40	71	18	22	.430	.494	1.359	1.853	1	0	1	0	1
37	Zeke Bonura	35	Ind. Games	167	150	71	4	0	41	89	17	9	.473	.527	1.320	1.847	0	0		0

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 7/16/2011.

But here's a better list -- hitters with at least 40 career HRs through age 21, sorted by OPS+.
In contrast to a reader's valid comment about the list above, this one has no "crap":

Rk	Player	OPS+	HR	From	To	Age	G	PA	AB	R	H	2B	3B	RBI	BB	IBB	SO	HBP	SH	SF	GDP	SB	CS	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	Pos	Tm
1	Ted Williams	161	54	1939	1940	20-21	293	1338	1126	265	378	87	25	258	203	0	118	5	4	0	23	6	5	.336	.439	.601	1.041	*97/1	BOS
2	Jimmie Foxx	157	49	1925	1929	17-21	364	1301	1088	241	372	61	25	222	178	0	131	4	31	0	0	15	17	.342	.436	.579	1.015	*3/529	PHA
3	Mel Ott	146	86	1926	1930	17-21	539	2060	1724	359	570	106	14	370	282	0	127	10	44	0	0	21	0	.331	.428	.558	.986	*9/7845	NYG
4	Eddie Mathews	145	72	1952	1953	20-21	302	1274	1107	190	303	54	13	193	158	0	198	3	6	0	15	7	7	.274	.366	.541	.907	*5	BSN-MLN
5	Mickey Mantle	143	57	1951	1953	19-21	365	1552	1351	260	398	72	15	244	197	0	275	0	4	0	10	20	12	.295	.384	.497	.881	*89/675	NYY
6	Frank Robinson	138	67	1956	1957	20-21	302	1345	1183	219	363	56	11	158	108	12	187	32	13	9	27	18	6	.307	.378	.543	.920	*7/83	CIN
7	Ken Griffey	134	60	1989	1991	19-21	436	1805	1600	228	478	93	8	241	178	41	246	5	5	17	26	50	24	.299	.367	.479	.847	*8/D	SEA
8	Bob Horner	130	56	1978	1979	20-21	210	874	810	116	239	32	2	161	46	8	116	5	1	12	16	0	2	.295	.332	.547	.879	*5/3	ATL
9	Tony Conigliaro	130	84	1964	1966	19-21	399	1658	1483	228	405	68	14	227	138	15	306	15	12	10	26	6	8	.273	.339	.508	.847	*9/78	BOS
10	Alex Rodriguez	129	64	1994	1997	18-21	352	1523	1384	260	435	100	6	228	109	2	265	9	12	9	29	51	12	.314	.366	.534	.900	*6/D	SEA
11	Orlando Cepeda	129	52	1958	1959	20-21	299	1291	1208	180	380	73	8	201	62	17	184	8	0	13	28	38	20	.315	.349	.517	.866	*3/75	SFG
12	Al Kaline	129	59	1953	1956	18-21	473	1939	1737	268	540	74	21	275	175	16	162	7	8	12	45	23	14	.311	.374	.480	.853	*9/87	DET
13	Hank Aaron	125	40	1954	1955	20-21	275	1174	1070	163	320	64	15	175	77	5	100	6	13	8	33	5	3	.299	.347	.499	.846	79/4	MLN
14	Mike Stanton	121	40	2010	2011	20-21	187	746	668	90	171	38	5	110	66	9	222	6	0	6	15	8	4	.256	.326	.507	.833	*9/D	FLA
15	Miguel Cabrera	121	45	2003	2004	20-21	247	1031	917	140	261	52	4	174	93	8	232	8	4	9	32	5	4	.285	.352	.497	.850	79/5D	FLA
16	Vada Pinson	121	41	1958	1960	19-21	335	1522	1396	258	418	91	21	153	113	6	212	7	5	1	21	55	19	.299	.355	.483	.837	*8/97	CIN
17	Johnny Bench	116	42	1967	1969	19-21	328	1292	1182	157	325	66	4	178	85	15	201	6	3	16	25	7	12	.275	.323	.444	.767	*2	CIN
18	Justin Upton	112	43	2007	2009	19-21	289	1157	1022	153	278	57	16	139	120	13	295	7	1	7	16	23	9	.272	.350	.485	.836	*9/D	ARI
19	Boog Powell	109	40	1961	1963	19-21	268	1002	904	111	228	35	4	136	87	13	168	2	3	6	26	2	3	.252	.317	.433	.750	*7/39	BAL
20	Andruw Jones	104	54	1996	1998	19-21	343	1211	1087	160	273	58	10	173	103	10	265	8	6	7	22	50	15	.251	.319	.472	.791	*89/7	ATL
21	Ruben Sierra	103	46	1986	1987	20-21	271	1107	1025	147	270	48	14	164	61	7	179	3	1	17	26	23	19	.263	.302	.472	.774	*9/78D	TEX
22	Adrian Beltre	102	42	1998	2000	19-21	367	1403	1243	173	338	66	7	174	131	14	222	11	9	9	21	33	13	.272	.344	.438	.782	*5/6	LAD

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 7/16/2011.

This entry was posted on Saturday, July 16th, 2011 at 5:41 pm and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

16 Responses to “Stanton’s power”

DavidRF Says:
July 16th, 2011 at 6:34 pm
Wow... he's young, too. Only 21. He has a chance to crack the age-based leaderboards.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/leaders_21_bat.shtml

If he hits 12 more HR this season, he'll crack the top 10 through age 21.
John Autin Says:
July 16th, 2011 at 7:00 pm
@1, DavidRF -- Good point. And those same 12 HRs would put him into the top 20 for the first 2 seasons; 16 more HRs would get him into that top 10.

He's certainly not a great hitter yet, but with that power and his apparent defensive ability (2.4 dWAR in his year-plus so far), he's got a chance to be an outstanding player.

P.S. Don't look now, but the Marlins have won 7 out of 8 and are now 13-9 under McKeon....
Fourfriends1679 Says:
July 16th, 2011 at 7:11 pm
Wow, now that I look at it, there's a lot of crap on that list!

For every McGwire, Pujols and Howard there two Incaviglia's, Stuart's, Nokes', Kittle's, Horner's and Snyder's.

LOL

Yes, I'm 1/2 kidding. I own enough late 198's BBall cards to know that those guys were at least "semi-stars." This just tells me (what I alreayd knew) that an auspicious start isn't necessarily all that meaningful.

Still an interetsing post, though! 🙂
DavidRF Says:
July 16th, 2011 at 7:14 pm
@2
126 OPS+ before today's outburst is very impressive for a 21-year old. Guys who play that well while that young project very well. He might be reminding Marlins fans of Miguel Cabrera.
John Autin Says:
July 16th, 2011 at 7:47 pm
Fourfriends makes a good point about the list I posted. But I should have added a 2nd list, the age-group list. As David said, doing what Stanton has done through age 21 (he turns 22 in November) is MUCH more predictive than doing it in the first 2 seasons.
John Autin Says:
July 16th, 2011 at 8:03 pm
I've updated the post to include the age-21 list.

There are 22 players on the list:
-- Of the 15 retired, HOF-eligible players, 10 have been inducted, and Junior Griffey is a virtual lock to make it 11 of 16. The remaining 5 retired players were no slouches, either.
-- Of the actives, A-Rod has a HOF resume, and M-Cabrera is at least halfway home.
Timmy P Says:
July 16th, 2011 at 9:20 pm
Zambrano was pitching hurt today and Soto called a bad game.
Evil Squirrel Says:
July 16th, 2011 at 9:57 pm
So the Cardinals record for most HR's in their first 188 games is held by...... Chris Duncan!?!?!?

I can become a millionaire winning bets with that little nugget....
DavidRF Says:
July 16th, 2011 at 10:03 pm
@5
"Baseball age" according to that leaderboard is your age on June 30th. What's impressed me is that he's got the rest of the year to climb the list.
RobM Says:
July 17th, 2011 at 2:18 am
That first list is not exactly loaded with HOFers! A few mixed in like Robinson and DiMaggion, and pending ones like Pujols and A-Rod, but most are not real greats. Much better to be on the second list.
Charles Says:
July 17th, 2011 at 1:35 pm
Stanton is the only player I can find to hit 20 homers in the minors and 20 in the majors the same year (2010)
John Autin Says:
July 17th, 2011 at 3:06 pm
@11, Charles -- Nice observation. I can't find another "20/20" guy, either (although I can't think of an efficient way of searching).
Gosh Says:
July 17th, 2011 at 9:06 pm
Hr. per 502 PA in first 2 yrs. of career , age up to 21.

Player HR Age HR/502 PA GP PA
Bob Horner 56 20-21 32.2 210 874
Eddie Mathews 72 20-21 28.4 302 1274
Mike Stanton 42 20-21 28.1 188 751
Darryl Strawberry 26 21-21 27.6 122 473
Albert Pujols 37 21-21 27.5 161 676
Tony Conigliaro 56 19-20 27.3 249 1030
Frank Robinson 67 20-21 25.0 302 1345
Hal Trosky 36 20-21 24.7 165 732
Jose Canseco 38 20-21 24.4 186 782
Gosh Says:
July 17th, 2011 at 9:09 pm
Incredibly that is as organized as i could make it. I don't no much about all these new fancy electronic computers,adding machines and calculators.
John Autin Says:
July 17th, 2011 at 9:16 pm
Don't sweat it, Gosh. The decimal point helps us find the relevant number.
Kevin Says:
July 18th, 2011 at 9:28 am
Ron Kittle and Pete Incaviglia - oh my. OK throw in Nokes for good measure.

There you have it. If Stanton continues on a good arc then he might join the likes of A-Rod, Pujols, and Griffey Jr. If he for some reason steadily fades from here like the ones I mentioned above...the Orioles will pick him up in 2021. (I hope not, he's one of the most exciting young players in the league)

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