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4-hit games, regular seasons vs. post-season

Posted by Andy on December 10, 2007

As reader kingturtle suggested, here is a comparison of the frequency of 4-hit games in the regular season versus the post-season.

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Here are the breakdown and sum for the last 10 years (regular season.)

        4-hit games     total games    %
1998    375             2432           15.4%
1999    437             2428           18.0%
2000    414             2429           17.0%
2001    373             2429           15.4%
2002    329             2426           13.6%
2003    381             2430           15.7%
2004    408             2428           16.8%
2005    334             2431           13.7%
2006    415             2429           17.1%
2007    442             2431           18.2%
       3908            24293           16.1%

Just to be clear on what's being calculated here: individual 4-hit games are counted separately. If one game happens to feature two different players getting 4 hits, they are each counted in the total above. The total games is just that--total games--and not total TEAM games (which would be double the numbers shown since each game has 2 teams.)

And now for the playoffs:

        4-hit games    total games    %
1998    0               30             0.0%
1999    5               31            16.1%
2000    2               31             6.5%
2001    6               35            17.1%
2002    4               34            11.8%
2003    8               38            21.1%
2004    7               34            20.6%
2005    1               30             3.3%
2006    5               30            16.7%
2007    2               28             7.1%
       40              321            12.5%

So, perhaps not too surprisingly, the frequency of 4-hit games in the post-season is lower than in the regular season. Why is this not surprising? Well, all offensive numbers are lower in the playoffs, including run scoring, HR, and batting average. That's where the famous adage comes from that good pitching (i.e. the pitching of playoff teams) beats good hitting (i.e. the hitting of playoff teams.)

In history, as we've seen, there have been 132 4-hit games. That's out of a total of 1,199 playoff games (the reader-mentioned number of 900 before was a bit low.) That's an 11% rate historically since the early 1900's.

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