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Archive for the 'Postseason' Category

Keeping Score: In a Game 7, Lee Would Be No Sure Thing – NYTimes.com

21st October 2010

Keeping Score: In a Game 7, Lee Would Be No Sure Thing – NYTimes.com

Contrary to what you may have heard, the Yankees do have a fighting chance of beating Cliff Lee if they can force a Game 7 against the Rangers.

Posted in Bloops, NYTimes, Postseason, Sabermetrics | 27 Comments »

Data Dump: Postseason Strikeout-to-Walk Ratio Leaders

21st October 2010

B-R user Simmy Cohen noticed that we don't have a K/BB leaderboard on our all-time playoff pitching leaders page, and asked if I could post one today. Here you go... Career K/BB ratio leaders (along with some other stats), in the postseason, minimum 30 innings pitched:

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Posted in Data Dump, Leaders, Mailbag, Postseason | 7 Comments »

POLLS: Which team do you want/expect to win the World Series?

15th October 2010

Two different polls...who you want to see win and who you expect to see win.

Click through to vote.
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Posted in Polls, Postseason | 40 Comments »

Keeping Score: Rangers Emerge From A-Rod’s Shadow – NYTimes.com

14th October 2010

Keeping Score: Rangers Emerge From A-Rod’s Shadow – NYTimes.com

One of the most interesting storylines of the ALCS is the fact that the Rangers now face their former star, Alex Rodriguez, a decade after lavishing him with a 10-year, $252 million contract they eventually couldn't afford.

Posted in Bloops, NYTimes, Postseason | 7 Comments »

Cliff Lee and two consecutive post-season starts without allowing a walk

13th October 2010

In his two starts against the Rays this post-season, Cliff Lee pitched at least 7 innings both times while not walking a single batter.

Here are the longest post-season streaks in which the pitcher went at least 7 innings with no walks in each:

Rk Strk Start End Games W L GS CG SHO GF IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA Tm
1 Carl Mays 1921-10-05 1921-10-12 3 1 2 3 3 1 0 26.0 20 6 5 0 9 0 1.73 NYY
2 Deacon Phillippe 1903-10-06 1903-10-13 3 1 2 3 3 0 0 26.0 28 14 11 0 6 0 3.81 PIT
3 Cliff Lee 2010-10-06 2010-10-12 2 2 0 2 1 0 0 16.0 11 2 2 0 21 1 1.13 TEX
4 Cliff Lee 2009-10-18 2009-10-28 2 2 0 2 1 0 0 17.0 9 1 0 0 20 0 0.00 PHI
5 Carl Pavano 2003-10-22 2009-10-11 2 0 1 2 0 0 0 15.0 12 3 3 0 13 2 1.80 FLA-MIN
6 Mark Buehrle 2005-10-12 2005-10-23 2 1 0 2 1 0 0 16.0 12 5 5 0 10 2 2.81 CHW
7 Jose Contreras 2005-10-04 2005-10-11 2 1 1 2 0 0 0 16.0 15 5 5 0 10 1 2.81 CHW
8 Greg Maddux 1996-10-16 1996-10-21 2 2 0 2 0 0 0 15.2 12 1 1 0 9 0 0.57 ATL
9 Johnny Sain 1948-10-06 1948-10-09 2 1 1 2 2 1 0 17.0 9 2 2 0 9 1 1.06 BSN
10 Schoolboy Rowe 1934-10-04 1934-10-08 2 1 1 2 2 0 0 21.0 17 6 5 0 12 0 2.14 DET
11 Ray Collins 1912-10-09 1912-10-14 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 14.1 14 5 3 0 6 0 1.88 BOS
12 Christy Mathewson 1912-10-09 1912-10-12 2 0 1 2 2 0 0 19.0 15 8 2 0 6 0 0.95 NYG
13 Cy Young 1903-10-03 1903-10-07 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 16.0 9 3 1 0 6 0 0.56 BOS
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/13/2010.

So Lee is the most recent guy to go it since, umm, Cliff Lee last year.

A few other interesting observations:

  • Note how many more strikeouts Lee has in his games than anybody else.
  • Carl Pavano has the biggest gap between games, completely skipping over his time with the Yankees and Indians (when he didn't make any post-season starts.) He's also the only guy to have his streak with two different teams, although Lee's two streaks have come with different teams.
  • Two of the streaks on here include non-starts: both Roy Collins and Cy Young made one of their appearances in relief. Collins relieved Buck O'Brien to start the second inning and pitched the rest of the game. Young relieved Tom Hughes in the 3rd inning and finished out the game.
  • Only Lee (both times) and Greg Maddux actually won all the games in their streaks.

Posted in Postseason, Streak Finders | 14 Comments »

Great 1-2-3 Rotation Combos In a Best-of-7 Series

13th October 2010

Last week I posted about how often the team with the best Game 1 starter by WAR wins the Division Series (only 55%, as it turns out), and with the League Championship Series coming up on us quickly, I wanted to do a variation of that study for best-of-seven series.

In the wake of the Phillies' sweep of Cincinnati, many are saying their top 3 pitchers (Roy Halladay, Roy Oswalt, Cole Hamels) are all they really need to overwhelm an opponent, even in a 7-game series. How does that triumvirate stack up to other Top 3s since the strike? Combined, Halladay (6.9 WAR), Oswalt (5.1), & Hamels (4.7) posted 16.7 Wins Above Replacement during the 2010 season, a total that ranks 6th among LCS participants since 1995:

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Posted in Postseason, Sabermetrics, WAR | 25 Comments »

Post-Season Pinch-Hit Home Runs

11th October 2010

In the comment section of another thread there has been a bit of a discussion about post-season pinch-hit home runs. You can create the entire list by using the Postseason Batter Event finder, searching All Teams for Home Runs and filtering for Position "PH". (I don't know if the PH for DH definition problem exists here or not.) Here is the complete list of 51:

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Posted in Event Finders, Postseason | 21 Comments »

Post-Season Go-Ahead Pinch Hit Home Runs When Trailing

10th October 2010

Eric Hinske had a huge home run tonight that went for naught. His 2 run pinch-hit home run temporarily gave the Braves an eighth inning lead over the Giants. In post-season history only 2 previous players had hit pinch hit home runs that took their team from behind and put them into the lead.

Cr# Gm# Date Series Gm# Batter Tm Opp Pitcher Score Inn RoB Out Pit(cnt) RBI Play Description
1 1 1988-10-15 WS 1 Kirk Gibson LAD OAK Dennis Eckersley down 4-3 b9 -2- 2 7 (3-2) 2 *ENDED GAME*:Home Run (Line Drive to Deep RF); Davis Scores
2 1 1992-10-18 WS 2 Ed Sprague TOR @ATL Jeff Reardon down 4-3 t9 1-- 1 1 (0-0) 2 Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF); Bell Scores
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/10/2010.

Posted in Event Finders, Postseason | 18 Comments »

Catchers Leading Off in the Post-Season

9th October 2010

Catcher John Jaso batted lead-off for the Rays in Saturday's game vs. the Rangers. Jaso becomes the third different catcher to start a post-season game in the 1 hole. Here are all the previous games:

Rk Player Date Series Gm# Tm Opp Rslt PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF ROE GDP SB CS WPA RE24 aLI BOP Pos. Summary
1 Jason Kendall 2006-10-14 ALCS 4 OAK DET L 3-6 5 5 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.027 -0.365 .958 1 C
2 Jason Kendall 2006-10-13 ALCS 3 OAK DET L 0-3 4 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.038 -0.377 .910 1 C
3 Jason Kendall 2006-10-11 ALCS 2 OAK DET L 5-8 5 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.089 -0.762 1.014 1 C
4 Jason Kendall 2006-10-10 ALCS 1 OAK DET L 1-5 5 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.114 1.211 .628 1 C
5 Jason Kendall 2006-10-06 ALDS 3 OAK MIN W 8-3 5 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.038 -0.652 .444 1 C
6 Jason Kendall 2006-10-04 ALDS 2 OAK MIN W 5-2 5 5 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.046 -0.131 1.216 1 C
7 Jason Kendall 2006-10-03 ALDS 1 OAK MIN W 3-2 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.084 -1.012 .807 1 C
8 Roger Bresnahan 1905-10-14 WS 5 NYG PHA W 2-0 4 4 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.011 0.591 .865 1 C
9 Roger Bresnahan 1905-10-13 WS 4 NYG PHA W 1-0 4 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.065 0.814 .812 1 C
10 Roger Bresnahan 1905-10-12 WS 3 NYG PHA W 9-0 5 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.046 0.055 .324 1 C
11 Roger Bresnahan 1905-10-10 WS 2 NYG PHA L 0-3 4 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.041 0.517 .865 1 C
12 Roger Bresnahan 1905-10-09 WS 1 NYG PHA W 3-0 5 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.053 1.161 1.263 1 C
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/10/2010.

Posted in Game Finders, Postseason | 2 Comments »

Postseason Game Previews Updated

8th October 2010

ATL @ SFG - Friday, October 8, 2010 Game Previews - Baseball-Reference.com.

Our absurdly indepth game previews are now setup to include the stats from games previously played in the postseason.  So if it matters to you that Freddy Sanchez is 0 for 5 (including last night's game), you can now get that data easily on the site.

Posted in Announcements, Postseason | 1 Comment »